Wednesday, November 19, 2008

I like those odds!

John Hollinger, he of and PER fame, released the first batch of his weekly NBA Playoff Odds (in mid-November? What took so long?), and the Portland Trail Blazers, according to a super-computer somewhere in Bristol, sit in the sixth spot in the Western Conference with an 88% chance of making the postseason. Time to just sit back and cruise for the next five months of the season, cause this baby's locked up!

Math is totally a Trail Blazers fan.

According to Hollinger, we've got a 28.9% chance of winning the Northwest Division (the Jazz are at 48% and the Nuggets at 30.3%), a 0.2% chance of getting the No. 1 seed, a 3% chance of making the Finals and a 0.8% chance of winning the whole thing. Our projected record is pegged at 47-38, which I'd be fine with, assuming a playoff birth is attainable with that result. Best case record according to Hollinger's laptop is a 61-21 record, with the worst case being 27-55. I would probably keel over from excitement or disappointment with either of those outcomes.

So we're on the inside looking out, at least according to the arithmetic, which is uncharted territory as far as recent history is concerned. Enjoy it for what it is, which is nothing.

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